Pego vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
0 - 0
PEG
56%
27%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PEG
1 - 1
BEN
26%
32%
43%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ALI
2 - 0
PEG
36%
31%
34%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
PEG
0 - 0
ELD
43%
29%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
PIN
1 - 0
PEG
47%
29%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
DEN
0 - 1
ELC
31%
28%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ALC
1 - 1
DEN
62%
24%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
DEN
60%
25%
15%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
DEN
4 - 0
OND
36%
28%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +3 |