Pego vs Alginet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
74.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
4 - 1
PEG
80%
15%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PEG
0 - 4
POR
14%
20%
67%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEN
4 - 1
PEG
81%
14%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PEG
1 - 1
UEG
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
4 - 2
PEG
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Alginet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ALG
1 - 0
LAL
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SDS
0 - 0
ALG
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALG
0 - 0
JAV
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CTS
3 - 2
ALG
37%
25%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
ALG
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |