Pego vs Alberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+114%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ENG
1 - 1
PEG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PEG
1 - 0
TAV
31%
25%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CUL
3 - 1
PEG
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
PEG
3 - 1
ONT
71%
18%
12%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALG
2 - 1
PEG
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CDT
0 - 0
ALB
24%
25%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
BEN
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALB
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
REC
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |