Pécsi MFC vs Dunaharaszti MTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
5º
38
7º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pécsi MFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
0 - 2
PEC
17%
23%
61%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 9
PEC
12%
19%
69%
|
50 | 11 | 39 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
PEC
2 - 5
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FOG
2 - 0
PEC
19%
24%
58%
|
51 | 10 | 41 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SZE
0 - 1
PEC
10%
22%
68%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Dunaharaszti MTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
FCD
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BKV
5 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 2
DUN
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
GVC
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MTK
3 - 0
DUN
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |