Paysandu vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
COT
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ATM
0 - 1
CRZ
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 2
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
4 - 0
FFL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 3
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 0
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |