Paulista vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
2 - 0
PAU
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAU
62%
20%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 2
SAO
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
0 - 1
PPE
22%
24%
53%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
BOT
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
OES
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
SAO
3 - 0
ITU
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |