Paulista vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAU
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
4 - 0
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SJS
0 - 1
PAU
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 0
AMP
82%
12%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 1
TAB
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
FLA
18%
19%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 1
SJS
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AMP
0 - 1
FLA
11%
16%
73%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 0
MOG
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |