Paulista vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
PAU
3 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CEA
4 - 1
PAU
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 1
GAM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAU
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
SPO
3 - 2
BAH
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2005 |
BAH
3 - 0
REC
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 0
BAH
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |