Paulista vs Olímpia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAU
40%
26%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 1
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
CAT
0 - 1
PAU
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 0
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
DES
2 - 1
PAU
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
5 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
NOR
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |