Pau FC vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NÎM
0 - 0
PAU
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
PAU
0 - 1
TFC
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 0
PAU
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 1
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
PAU
0 - 0
CRF
77%
15%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 2
BAS
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 0
BAS
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
NÎM
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |