Patronato vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.6%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
PAT
32%
33%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
SMA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
PAT
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 2
SPB
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 0
PAT
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
INS
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
DHA
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
IND
3 - 0
FER
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
0 - 0
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |