Pasteleira vs Bougadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pasteleira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAS
8%
15%
77%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 0
RAM
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ROR
1 - 5
PAS
9%
16%
76%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
4 - 1
SCR
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
7 - 1
MAR
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bougadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BOU
2 - 0
DPO
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SRO
2 - 3
BOU
12%
18%
70%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BOU
8 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MCO
3 - 1
BOU
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOU
6 - 1
ZEB
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |