Pastaza vs Unión Manabita analysis


43	ELO	32
-2%	Tilt	-4%
45657º	General ELO ranking	46584º
90º	Country ELO ranking	119º
ELO win probability

72%

Pastaza

17.2%

Draw

10.8%

Unión Manabita

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

72%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%

17.2%

Draw

0-0

4.6%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

17.2%

10.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pastaza

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Aug. 2021	CUM 0 - 1 PSC 28% 24% 48%	43	34	9	0
15 Nov. 2020	PSC 0 - 1 CDA 38% 25% 38%	44	48	4	-1
07 Nov. 2020	CDA 1 - 0 PSC 57% 22% 21%	45	48	3	-1
31 Oct. 2020	CSM 0 - 1 PSC 41% 24% 35%	45	42	3	0
25 Oct. 2020	PSC 1 - 1 CSM 57% 22% 21%	45	42	3	0

Matches

Unión Manabita

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
28 Aug. 2021	CUM 0 - 1 PSC 28% 24% 48%	34	43	9	0