Challenge Cup . Semi-finals

Partick Thistle vs Raith Rovers analysis

Partick Thistle Raith Rovers
57 ELO 61
5.4% Tilt 1.2%
1141º General ELO ranking 1116º
14º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Partick Thistle
23.3%
Draw
40.4%
Raith Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Partick Thistle
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40.4%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Partick Thistle
Raith Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Partick Thistle
Partick Thistle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2020
DUN
Dundee
2 - 0
Partick Thistle
PAR
38%
27%
36%
59 55 4 0
31 Jan. 2020
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
41%
25%
33%
60 62 2 -1
25 Jan. 2020
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Partick Thistle
PAR
34%
27%
40%
60 55 5 0
18 Jan. 2020
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 2
Celtic
CEL
11%
19%
70%
61 87 26 -1
11 Jan. 2020
PAR
Partick Thistle
1 - 4
Dundee United
DUN
31%
27%
42%
62 70 8 -1

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2020
STR
Stranraer
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
19%
23%
58%
60 44 16 0
01 Feb. 2020
AIR
Airdrieonians
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
32%
26%
43%
59 55 4 +1
25 Jan. 2020
RAI
Raith Rovers
4 - 3
Montrose
MON
57%
23%
19%
58 55 3 +1
18 Jan. 2020
LIV
Livingston
3 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
49%
24%
27%
59 67 8 -1
11 Jan. 2020
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
22%
24%
54%
59 46 13 0
X