Partick Thistle vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partick Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
ARB
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 3
DUN
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RAI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AYR
4 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 0
KHE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 3
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
KHE
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FAL
2 - 3
KHE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |