Vaprus Pärnu vs TJK Legion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
JKJ
1 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
LEV
0 - 3
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 0
RAK
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2019 |
PAR
5 - 1
WEL
75%
15%
11%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
FLO
0 - 0
PAR
85%
10%
5%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 0
TKA
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
TJK
2 - 1
WEL
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
FCE
1 - 2
TJK
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TJK
3 - 0
LEV
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
JKJ
2 - 3
TJK
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |