Vaprus Pärnu vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LEV
6 - 2
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
7 - 1
FCP
81%
12%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RAK
3 - 7
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TUL
2 - 0
PAR
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NOM
2 - 0
KUR
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
FLO
4 - 1
NOM
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NOM
3 - 1
VAN
64%
20%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 2
NOM
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NOM
1 - 1
EMM
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |