Vaprus Pärnu vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
JKJ
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
6 - 0
FCE
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
NOM
0 - 3
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 1
FCE
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MAA
4 - 1
FCP
72%
16%
12%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
FLO
0 - 4
MAA
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
VAN
1 - 2
MAA
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
MAA
3 - 0
NOM
30%
21%
49%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
MAA
5 - 1
FCP
67%
18%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |