Vaprus Pärnu vs FC TVMK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TVM
7 - 1
PAR
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 2
TAM
53%
22%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TUL
1 - 1
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 0
WAR
76%
14%
9%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC TVMK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2006 |
TRA
2 - 3
TVM
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TVM
7 - 1
PAR
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LEV
2 - 1
TVM
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
WAR
1 - 2
TVM
10%
15%
74%
|
78 | 42 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
TVM
5 - 0
TAR
87%
10%
4%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |