Campionato Primavera 2 Grupo A round 11

Parma U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis

Parma U19 Spezia U19
25 ELO 33
-6.9% Tilt 3.9%
5739º General ELO ranking 8498º
208º Country ELO ranking 321º
ELO win probability
19.2%
Parma U19
20.3%
Draw
60.5%
Spezia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
Parma U19
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
60.5%
Win probability
Spezia U19
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Parma U19
+14%
-43%
Spezia U19

ELO progression

Parma U19
Spezia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma U19
Parma U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2019
SPA
SPAL U19
2 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
67%
18%
16%
24 32 8 0
23 Nov. 2019
PAR
Parma U19
2 - 1
Cittadella U19
CIT
68%
19%
14%
24 19 5 0
09 Nov. 2019
VEN
Venezia U19
1 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
46%
22%
32%
25 25 0 -1
02 Nov. 2019
PAR
Parma U19
4 - 1
Pordenone U19
PUB
25%
21%
55%
22 29 7 +3
26 Oct. 2019
MIL
Milan U19
6 - 0
Parma U19
PAR
66%
18%
16%
23 28 5 -1

Matches

Spezia U19
Spezia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2019
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 2
Cittadella U19
CIT
84%
11%
5%
34 19 15 0
23 Nov. 2019
VEN
Venezia U19
2 - 2
Spezia U19
SPE
21%
20%
60%
34 25 9 0
09 Nov. 2019
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 2
Udinese U19
UDI
84%
11%
5%
35 19 16 -1
02 Nov. 2019
VIR
Virtus Entella U19
2 - 6
Spezia U19
SPE
47%
22%
31%
34 34 0 +1
30 Oct. 2019
SPE
Spezia U19
1 - 5
Milan U19
MIL
51%
23%
27%
35 29 6 -1