Parma Sub 19 vs Cittadella Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
7º
2º
28
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAR
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
USA
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
PUB
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
PAR
20%
19%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIT
0 - 0
BRE
23%
21%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ASS
6 - 0
CIT
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CIT
0 - 1
CRE
28%
24%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CIT
2 - 1
FER
21%
20%
60%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PUB
1 - 5
CIT
39%
22%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |