Parma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAT
2 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
ACM
26%
26%
49%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
FIO
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAM
43%
29%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 1
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PES
2 - 3
SAM
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |