Parma vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 3
UDI
54%
24%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
INT
1 - 0
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAR
3 - 1
ANC
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 1
PAR
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAR
2 - 2
JUV
32%
27%
42%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MES
4 - 0
ACI
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 3
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |