Parma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
VIC
0 - 1
PAR
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAR
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
NUO
2 - 2
LEC
14%
24%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASC
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEC
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |