Coppa Italia Quarter-finals

Global 1-3

Parma vs Lazio analysis

Parma Lazio
87 ELO 88
-5.4% Tilt -0.4%
205º General ELO ranking 36º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.4%
Parma
26.4%
Draw
28.2%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
Parma
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.2%
Win probability
Lazio
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Parma
-1%
+6%
Lazio

ELO progression

Parma
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2004
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
39%
26%
35%
87 85 2 0
14 Jan. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
55%
23%
22%
87 88 1 0
10 Jan. 2004
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
Inter
INT
38%
26%
36%
87 89 2 0
06 Jan. 2004
ANC
Ancona
0 - 2
Parma
PAR
21%
25%
54%
87 67 20 0
20 Dec. 2003
PAR
Parma
1 - 2
Reggina
REG
66%
20%
13%
87 79 8 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2004
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
20%
27%
54%
89 74 15 0
14 Jan. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
55%
23%
22%
88 87 1 +1
11 Jan. 2004
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 1
Brescia
BRE
71%
18%
11%
88 81 7 0
06 Jan. 2004
REG
Reggina
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
89 79 10 -1
21 Dec. 2003
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Inter
INT
46%
24%
29%
89 89 0 0