Parma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
PIA
3 - 6
PAR
29%
27%
44%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
INT
44%
27%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
EMP
3 - 5
PAR
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PAR
1 - 1
ROM
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
PAR
3 - 1
GLA
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
FIO
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 1
LAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
LAZ
3 - 1
UDI
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
LAZ
5 - 2
SAM
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
JUV
0 - 1
LAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |