Parma vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAL
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
RAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 3
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
UDI
0 - 1
GEN
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATH
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 3
GEN
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
GEN
11 - 1
STO
94%
5%
1%
|
81 | 8 | 73 | 0 |