Parma vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
MES
1 - 2
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAR
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 0
PAR
42%
23%
35%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAD
0 - 0
ACM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
0 - 2
PAD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
MES
2 - 0
PAD
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 0
MOD
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
USA
2 - 2
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |