Parma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 4
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
FIO
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
INT
2 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
LIV
2 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAG
0 - 0
EMP
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 3
CAG
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |