Paris FC vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
STR
2 - 1
PFC
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 0
LPS
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 1
PFC
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
PFC
3 - 1
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
PFC
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
0 - 3
MET
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COL
4 - 2
AVR
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
AVR
4 - 1
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |