PSG vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
ASN
2 - 0
PSG
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
KPT
1 - 1
PSG
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 2
PSG
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
PSG
3 - 1
BRE
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 2
LEN
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
LOR
3 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 1
LEN
38%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 3
LYO
22%
24%
55%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |