Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-2
PSG vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.7%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
2.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
PSG
1 - 0
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1983 |
AUX
1 - 2
PSG
49%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 3
PSG
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
GLE
1 - 2
PSG
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
PSG
0 - 1
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
GLE
1 - 2
PSG
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
BAN
1 - 0
GLE
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
GLE
1 - 3
BAN
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
GLE
2 - 1
CSK
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CSK
2 - 0
GLE
84%
10%
6%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |