UCL Group A Round 4

PSG vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis

PSG Dinamo Zagreb
89 ELO 84
3.7% Tilt 1.7%
General ELO ranking 285º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.4%
PSG
20%
Draw
14.5%
Dinamo Zagreb

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
PSG
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
Dinamo Zagreb
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSG
-2%
+11%
Dinamo Zagreb

ELO progression

PSG
Dinamo Zagreb
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSG
PSG
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 2012
PSG
PSG
1 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
68%
19%
13%
89 84 5 0
31 Oct. 2012
PSG
PSG
2 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
53%
23%
23%
89 88 1 0
27 Oct. 2012
ASN
Nancy
0 - 1
PSG
PSG
20%
25%
56%
89 79 10 0
24 Oct. 2012
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 2
PSG
PSG
34%
26%
41%
89 84 5 0
20 Oct. 2012
PSG
PSG
1 - 0
Stade de Reims
REI
79%
14%
7%
89 75 14 0

Matches

Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2012
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
3 - 1
NK Istra 1961
IST
76%
17%
8%
84 68 16 0
30 Oct. 2012
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
2 - 3
Zadar
ZAD
84%
12%
4%
84 60 24 0
27 Oct. 2012
HNK
HNK Cibalia
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
19%
25%
56%
84 69 15 0
24 Oct. 2012
DZG
Dinamo Zagreb
0 - 2
PSG
PSG
34%
26%
41%
84 89 5 0
20 Oct. 2012
INT
Inter Zapresic
0 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
16%
24%
60%
84 64 20 0