PSG vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 4
PSG
11%
24%
66%
|
90 | 39 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 3
PSG
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 0
LYO
49%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 4
PSG
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
4 - 0
ETG
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FCR
1 - 1
AJA
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 4
REN
23%
27%
50%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
AJA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
REI
45%
29%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
MPL
3 - 0
AJA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |