Parham vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
14º
13º
25
5º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
ORO
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
HOP
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
6 - 1
SWE
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
LIB
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TRY
1 - 4
VLI
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
TRY
2 - 3
EGF
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TRY
1 - 4
OTT
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SWE
1 - 1
TRY
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TRY
4 - 0
BLU
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |