Parham vs Tryum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SAP
2 - 5
PAR
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
HOP
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
LIB
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
FIV
2 - 0
PAR
28%
24%
47%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Tryum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TRY
1 - 1
VLI
73%
15%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
TRY
2 - 2
HOP
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
TRY
1 - 0
LIB
55%
20%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TRY
2 - 0
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SAP
1 - 4
TRY
32%
22%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |