Parets vs Mataró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
74.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CMB
1 - 3
PAR
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAN
39%
26%
35%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 1
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CFL
2 - 0
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
BOS
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CEM
2 - 3
BAN
85%
10%
4%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CFL
1 - 3
CEM
27%
21%
52%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CEM
3 - 1
VIC
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEM
1 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
CEM
16%
18%
65%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |