Parc vs Morell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 1
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 4
CEE
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 1
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 2
CFV
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
PAR
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
TTE
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOR
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CEE
4 - 0
MOR
59%
21%
21%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 5
SJU
11%
17%
73%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 1
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |