Paranoá vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 1
DOM
43%
23%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 2
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
GUA
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
MIN
1 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CEI
1 - 2
LUZ
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
DOM
1 - 1
CEI
41%
23%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 6
CEI
23%
22%
54%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
LUZ
0 - 0
CEI
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CEI
2 - 1
DOM
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |