Paranoá vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAP
20%
21%
60%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
DOM
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
PAR
21%
19%
60%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
86%
9%
4%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
SED
5 - 0
CEI
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 0
PAR
47%
22%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 3
SOB
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |