Paraná vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
FOR
5 - 3
PAR
34%
25%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 3
CRZ
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CRI
1 - 2
PAR
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 0
JWI
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 3
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
UNI
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |