Paraná vs Grecal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2012 |
NPR
1 - 1
PAR
13%
20%
68%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 4
PAR
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 2
PAR
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
PAL
4 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
9%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CCR
0 - 1
PAR
16%
20%
64%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Grecal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
GEM
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 2
PRU
15%
19%
66%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +8 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FOZ
6 - 1
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
CIN
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NPR
1 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | +1 |