Paraná vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FOR
4 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 1
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
INT
5 - 1
PAR
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
CEA
3 - 0
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
PPE
3 - 2
CEA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
CEA
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CEA
2 - 1
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
HOR
5 - 3
CEA
40%
24%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |