Paraná vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 2
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AMF
1 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
BAH
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 3
ASA
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
ASA
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
ASA
0 - 1
BAH
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |