Paraíso vs San Carlos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraíso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAC
2 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
PAR
74%
17%
10%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
4 - 1
ADB
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
4 - 1
PAR
61%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASE
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JFC
3 - 3
TUR
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
JFC
2 - 1
JAC
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
LAS
3 - 0
JFC
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
JFC
2 - 1
BEL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
BEL
3 - 1
JFC
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |