Paraguay U23s vs Italy U23s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PRY
1 - 2
GHN
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PRY
4 - 3
JAP
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
PRT
5 - 0
PRY
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
PRY
2 - 4
GHN
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1992 |
PRY
3 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U23s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
JAP
2 - 3
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
GHN
2 - 2
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 1
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
1 - 1
NIG
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
ITA
3 - 1
HND
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |