Paraguay U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
ECU
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
PAR
11%
19%
70%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 3
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
URU
1 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |