Brasiliense Etapas Finales. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Paracatu vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
60.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 2
FOR
45%
24%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 1
DOM
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
GAM
2 - 2
DOM
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
GAM
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SOB
3 - 1
GAM
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |