Pafos vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
37%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALK
0 - 2
PAP
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PAP
0 - 0
ETH
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
DOX
1 - 0
PAP
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAP
3 - 0
AYI
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ENO
1 - 1
PAP
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
0 - 1
AEK
32%
31%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
AEK
3 - 0
AYI
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NEA
0 - 0
AEK
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLY
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
OMO
0 - 1
AEK
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |