Q. Europa League Playoffs. Final
Global 4-1
PAOK vs Zimbru Chişinău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 1
KAL
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZIM
1 - 0
PAO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PAO
0 - 0
INT
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
QPR
0 - 1
PAO
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 0
XAN
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SAX
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZIM
1 - 0
PAO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TIR
2 - 1
ZIM
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 1
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -3 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 2
ZIM
14%
23%
63%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |